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The bonus and the taxes withheld will be reported on the 2023 W-2 you receive from your employer.
Whether or not you will receive any tax refund is dependent on your taxable income, any tax credits you are eligible to received and your tax liability.
If your total tax payments are greater than your total tax liability then you will receive a tax refund for the overpayment.
If your total tax payments are less than your total tax liability you will have taxes owed.
Just file your tax return as usual. Because the formula that the IRS requires for taxing a paycheck containing a bonus sometimes over-estimates the tax owed on the bonus, you may get a larger than normal tax refund this year. Remember that the tax you owe for the year is only calculated on your tax return, and takes into account all your total income, credits, deductions and dependents. If you paid more into the system via withholding or direct payments than you owe, whatever the excess is comes back as a tax refund.
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