If you've only begun working on your TurboTax program, you've still got lots to work on. You haven't yet gotten to the part of your program that calculates your deductions and credits. Don't pay much attention to that Refund Monitor. It's only truly accurate when you've finished entering all of your data and are ready to file.
So keep on working through your program. Please post back if you have further concerns.
Also, see the TurboTax W-4 calculator, linked below, to see how things stack up for 2017.
https://turbotax.intuit.com/tax-tools/calculators/w4/
*** I am NOT a tax expert. I am a seasoned TurboTax user, and volunteer to provide assistance to TT users. Nothing I post is to be considered TAX ADVICE; I bear no legal liability for responses.***