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Have you tried using the IRS withholding estimation tool:
https://www.irs.gov/individuals/tax-withholding-estimator
Or have you tried using TurboTax's Tax caster tool:
https://turbotax.intuit.com/tax-tools/calculators/taxcaster/
If you don't pay the estimates and your withholding isn't any of the following you will be hit with underpayment penalties.
1) 2020 balance due after withholding is less than $1000
2) withholding covers 90% of 2020 tax
3) withholding is 100% (110% if 2019 adjusted gross income is over $150,000) of 2019 tax
See this for calculating 2020 estimated taxes - https://ttlc.intuit.com/community/tax-payments/help/can-turbotax-calculate-next-year-s-federal-estim...
See this for paying estimated taxes - https://ttlc.intuit.com/community/tax-payments/help/how-do-i-make-estimated-tax-payments/00/25875
if you take money from your 401k the custodian will charge 20%. They don't do any estimating for you.
It's the same with stock profits. But you have more control.
OR
take your chances and hope the penalty is small or zero.
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