He should claim 4. If your daughter lives with him all year, he can claim her as an other dependent (not as a qualifying child; $500 credit , not $2000). If you marry before 12-31-19, she becomes his qualifying child. A step child is the same as a natural child, for taxes. A child born during the year counts for the whole year
Yes, there's a slight risk of owing a little. 3 would be "safer".