Can't understand options for applying overpayment

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I am applying my 2022 NY State tax overpayment to 2023 taxes.  I am offered these options:

Apply consecutively to all quarters;  Apply to first quarter only;  Apply evenly to state estimated amounts only.  The first and third option result in the same refund to me.  The second option results in a much larger refund.

I am not sure how these options are defined and differ.  Which option is safest in regards to avoiding underpayment of 2023 state taxes?  Many thanks.