What-If form 2024 Balance Due different $ than tax return

Love the What-If form functionality. Used it to calculate prepaid tax for 2025. TurboTax What-If first column line 72 balance due is $315, whereas the Federal Tax due at the top of my 2024 return is $449. Since Turbo Tax imported the 2024 return into the What-If form why is the balance due amount different?

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