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probably they'll lose a small %. w11 is only required for desktop versions. don't know the exact %s but probably 80% use online so they don't have to upgrade for now. some of the desktop users will probably switch to online. That means Intuit could make up the lost revenue from those that abandon its desktop tax product. Consider a taxpayer with stock sales. for 2024, the cheapest desktop version is $80 (federal and state); online $139 state $64 additional. Also, desktop was good for 5 free e-files. online - one return per account. It's really about ITS bottom line.
They should extend TT 2025 for 1 more tax season. Im sure a lot of people are getting the updates for 1 year.
Interesting...I just did a Google search for :
"What portion of TurboTax users use the Desktop vs the Online software"
___________________
The AI there indicated that an Intuit report on 31 July 2025 indicated that:
~39.4 million users are using the "online" software
and
~4.3 Million users are using the "Desktop" software.
So, assuming the AI has parsed things properly... it's pushing 10:1 Online vs Desktop
Here is a link for Inuits last report.
FYI
In it it shows the following for TT user numbers.
Note the commentary on the user numbers - they don't have a problem "yielding share with lower ARPR customers" i.e. desktop users which accounts for less than 1% of Intuit's projected 2026 revenues and in decline. They expect Turbo Tax revenue growth of 8% in 2026 and that isn't from desktop. Intuit has all this user data and has done this analysis in making a calculated decision to stop supporting win10.
TurboTax Live revenue grew 47 percent for the year, representing 41 percent of total Consumer Group revenue. TurboTax Live customers grew 24 percent.
TurboTax Online paying units grew 6 percent on share gains from higher average revenue per return (ARPR) filers. TurboTax Online units declined 1 percent and total TurboTax units declined 2 percent for the year, due to yielding share with lower ARPR customers.
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