Current Q1 W-2 withholdings: $13,295
Q1 portion of total 2025 Safe Harbor: $14,126
Q1 Actual estimated tax payment need to be made: $832
Turbo Tax estimated Q1 payment: $3,185
You are correct that safe harbor is 110% of 2024 Tax $51,365 X 1.10 = $56,500
The $3,185 can be made up of additional withholding, estimated payment, or a mix. Since your withholding is going to increase, then it's correct to reduce your estimated payment. You could also have even more come out of your paycheck to avoid having to make any estimated payment.