The Audit risk meter in TurboTax is a general guideline from the information of what the IRS audits from year-to-year. The IRS may focus on various issues including identity, and self-employed business income and expenses.
Moving to medium risk does not necessarily mean the IRS will audit your return.
These Turbo Tax articles will provide more information.
About the Audit Risk Meter
What's the difference between the Audit Support Guarantee and Audit Defense?
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