After you file

@ncbowdoin What you see on the TurboTax website for the status of a federal tax refund is an estimate only.  Based on IRS averages of 21 days for issuing a federal tax refund from the time the federal tax return was received.

 

Only the IRS controls when and if a tax refund is Approved and Issued.  That is why the IRS website for the status of a federal return is only authority - https://www.irs.gov/refunds