Get your taxes done using TurboTax

First you stated that you thought your EIP caused your refund to disappear.   Even after a careful explanation of why the imaginary refund you saw was reduced when you entered the fact that you already received the EIP payment ---which you cannot get twice---now you think there is a conspiracy to keep your refund lower than usual?

Since the estimating tool is confusing you, when you have entered ALL of your actual income and other data into the tax software, print out 2020 and 2021 and lay them side by side to compare them to see what is different.

No one in this user forum can see your tax return or your screen.  There were major tax law changes that began with the 2018 tax year that seem to continue to surprise some people.  Personal exemptions of over $4000 per person were removed beginning with 2018 returns.

 Was something different for 2021?  Did you have less income due to the pandemic?  Did you receive unemployment compensation?  If so, did you have tax withheld from it?

There are a lot of variables that affect your refund or tax due including how much you earned, how much tax you had withheld, your filing status, the number of dependents you claim, your deductions and credits, etc.  You may have lost Earned Income Credit or the Child Tax Credit— did a child turn 19?  If you received the EIC last year, remember that changes in the amount you earn have a big effect on the amount of EIC you can get. (Sometimes earning more money means less EIC)  Are you 65 or older ?  If so, your standard deduction is higher. Everyone has a higher standard deduction now so it is harder to use itemized deductions.

And of course, always check your own data entries, looking for errors such as misplaced decimals or extra zeros.

https://ttlc.intuit.com/questions/1901008-why-did-my-refund-go-down-compared-to-last-year-s

Print out 2020 and 2021 and compare them side by side to see what is different.