As explained by @xmasbaby0 and @Bsch4477, the loss of the $2,000 child tax credit you may have qualified for in 2024 may explain your lower refund in 2025. The mention of potential higher refunds this year can be attributed to an increase in the child tax credit of $200 and also a deduction for qualifying overtime pay and tip income. If you don't have that type of income that may explain why your refund has not increased.
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