Estimated balance due means TurboTax thinks you will owe money when you file your 2023 tax return.
This happens if you owed money in 2022 or if you used the W-4 and Estimated Taxes section. If you print your return, you should see estimated tax payment vouchers (Form 1040-ES 1-4) of recommended amounts to pay every quarter.
The IRS levies a penalty for underpayment of estimated tax if you didn’t pay enough tax throughout the year, either through withholding or by making estimated tax payments.
Generally, most taxpayers will avoid this penalty if they owe less than $1,000 in tax after subtracting their withholdings and credits, or if they paid at least 90% of the tax for the current year, or 100% of the tax shown on the return for the prior year, whichever is smaller.
Refer to Penalty for Underpayment of Estimated Tax
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