Deductions & credits

Thanks for your thoughts.  There is an additional factor that I forgot to mention (although it could have been inferred) -- I have the option of contributing pre-tax funds to a 403b (I'm not maxed out yet). Making the same total contributions,

 

Making the same net contributions and same investment assumptions (assuming the HSA at least has an index fund option, and making the Roth after-tax contribution to have the same net effect on take-home pay)

 

Plan A with HSA Plan B with FSA and pre-tax 403b

With $3000 out of pocket expenses, contribute $5150 to HSA

With $3000 out of pocket,

$600 covered by HRA, contribute $2400 to FSA and $2750 pre-tax 403b

Saves income tax and employment taxes on $5150

Saves income taxes on $5150 and saves employment taxes on $2400

Tax savings relative to Plan B is $210 per year

 

With $2150 unspent each year, projected value of HSA at age 65 is $24,706

With $2750 invested, projected value of 403b at age 65is $31,601

Withdrawals are tax-free if spent on medical care, taxable if withdrawn for other purposes after age 65

Withdrawals are taxable

 

$210 per year savings now, and $24,000 non-taxable in retirement if spent on medical

No current savings and $24,000 after taxes (estimated)

 

 

So there is still a difference but not huge.