Deductions & credits

Like you, I extended in the hopes this would be resolved.  I am debating doing so again this year in which case I would amend 2022 and use the standard deduction to generate a larger NOL carryover.  Since IAN is NOT QUALIFIED, I had to itemize in 2022 to claim the loss (could not use the standard deduction).  Would like your opinion about my approach.  (Using fictitious but realistic round number to illustrate):

 

By itemizing:

2022 AGI  $40,000

2022 Itemized deductions (including casualty loss after $100 + 10% exclusion)   $50,000

2022 NOL Carryforward   $10,000

 

By amending 2022 (assuming it gets designated as qualified) and taking the standard deduction
2022 AGI  $40,000

2022 Standard deduction (MFJ) + Casualty loss after $500 exclusion  $64,000

2022 NOL Carryforward   $24,000

 

What am I missing?