Estimated taxes are based on your predictions. My guess would be you crossed the income line or simply made more than expected.
Generally, to avoid a penalty, you should pay a. 90% of the tax to be shown on your 2022 tax return, or b. 100% of the tax shown on your 2021 tax return.
IRS Pub 505 states:
Higher Income Taxpayers If your AGI for 2022 was more than $150,000 ($75,000 if your filing status for 2023 is married filing a separate return), substitute 110% for 100% in (2b) under General Rule, earlier. For 2022, AGI is the amount shown on Form 1040 or 1040-SR, line 11.
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