Status finally changed after three weeks. Anecdotally I can confirm what others have said: this is just a totally misleading status message ("does not match" status really means, "We've got your return, but we haven't done anything with it yet"). I don't see anyone reporting that, after a month or so of waiting, there was an actual mismatch between their TurboTax efile and the actual record received by NYS.
Based on past years, now I wait another 6 weeks until refund is received. Sigh...
