The number in my payment voucher does not match my 1040's "Amount you owe" category

Hi there, 

 

Turbotax and my 1040 says I owe $45 on my 2018 taxes (filing quite late, it's now Feb 27 2020). It also says this includes a $56 penalty for late filing. However, on the 2019 Form 1040-ES Payment Vouchers the number shown is $435. Where does this discrepancy come from? Is it because the payment is past the due dates? If so, how do they arrive at their number? And what amount am I really supposed to pay?

 

Best,

Luke