2025 Safe Harbor Calculation

Screenshot 2025-04-06 131259.pngTurbo Tax just calculated my 2025 estimated payments, but it appears it assumes my W-2 withholdings remain the same as 2024. My total tax for 2024 was $51,364 which means my 2025 safe harbor tax (110% of 2024) is $56,500. TT is estimating I need to pay $3,185 quarterly, but I am wondering if I only need to pay the difference between the $56,500 divided up quarterly equaling $14,126 minus the actual W-2 withholdings paid each quarter? 

 

Current Q1 W-2 withholdings: $13,295

Q1 portion of total 2025 Safe Harbor: $14,126 

Q1 Actual estimated tax payment need to be made: $832

Turbo Tax estimated Q1 payment: $3,185