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Thanks!  I think I may have overthought this and answered my own question.  I rejiggered some numbers and came up with an estimated tax of $17,442 for 2024.  If I leave that money in the bank earning 5% interest I make $872.  The penalty would be roughly .04635 = $808.  Pretty presumptuous (and funny) that the government thinks that their money makes ~4.6%!!  So I'll just pay them the entire tax on Apr. 15, 2025 and save myself the ridiculous hassle of quarterly payments.

 

Cheers