Received refund for the past 3 years (2021-2023) and still have 1040-ES

In 2021 through 2023 tax years, I received a federal refund. And yet, for each of those years, TurboTax has 1040-ESs.

I'm baffled as to why TurboTax would think that I need to pay estimated taxes, when I'm getting refunds in excess of the 1040-ES amount. That tells me I didn't really need to pay the estimated taxes.