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I also found and deleted a plist file in my Library.  Now, if I reinstall from the dmg files, I still get the "looks like we hit a snag" window, but it asks for and installs the update, and opens my return properly.

 

But if I quit and re-start, it crashes.

 

However, if I delete the plist file before I re-start it, I still get the "snag" window, but it starts up successfully.

 

It's clearly all about the plist file.  I have a little script to remove it, and if I run that before every time I re-start Turbotax, it starts successfully - but still gives the ""looks like we hit a snag" dialog.