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It is AMT.

I had to compare the 1040 carefully in both options.
Basically, I can deduct ~$5K of AMT carryover credit if I itemize, and ~$1K if I take the standard deduction.

Since tax due is only ~$100 less if I itemize and eat an extra $4K of credit, I think I just take the standard deduction and retain the extra AMT carry over credit.  Even with high interest rates $100 today will take a long time to be worth $4K....