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It depends. It appears you may be entering your own numbers for 2026. If that's the case here is what I find:
In both TurboTax Online and TurboTax Desktop for a given tax year (TY 2025 currently):
The estimated‑tax module is designed around the IRS safe‑harbor rules and typical workflows. Since it is a prediction and the 2025 tax year is the base for the basic workflow, it appears the 2026 information is not moving into the actual flow to the estimated tax forms. Although it does help you to know what amount you should consider in paying for estimated quarterly payments. In your situation, you are going in a reduced income situation which is not being accounted for.
For this reason you will need to make the adjustments on your actual payments using what you know will be the case for your reduced income. I will request a possible change, and then demand will likely dictate the results.
not quite sure, but perhaps you're entering your 2025 tax payments in the section reserved for calculating 2026 estimated taxes. 2025 tax payments only go on the tax payments worksheet (for 2025).
I have the same problem with TurboTax Deluxe Online. It appears that even though I did not enter any payments or withholding information for 2026, it used the withholding information from 2025 when calculating 2026 estimated payments. This caused the vouchers for 2026 to be way too low to avoid penalties in 2026.
You don't have to use vouchers at all, but if you want TurboTax to prepare quarterly estimates and vouchers, go back to the Estimated Taxes section in Other Tax Forms under Other Tax Situations.
At the first screen, Adjust How Much Tax You Pay, choose Estimates rather than W-4 as a basis for the estimate. You can also choose not to let the program use your 2025 wages as a basis to estimate tax for 2026, and enter in the amounts of income you project to receive and deductions you expect to claim. TurboTax will prepare vouchers, but does not automatically print them until you are ready to file.
You can also choose to use the IRS Form 1040ES to prepare the estimates. You can pay directly online to IRS.
See this tax tips article for more information about estimated taxes.
interesting answer and appreciated. Why did turbotax change how they did estimated taxes from prior years? In the past (turboTax Deluxe) it asked what you estimate the amount of withholdings will be for the current year and now instead ask what has been withheld to date. For estimating taxes for 2026 that makes no sense and then use 2025 withholdings in determining estimated tax payments. Shouldn't this be a program update to return to the prior year process. Thanks.
I agree. What they are doing makes absolutely no sense. To do correctly, you need an estimate of what is currently planned to be withheld. The vouchers should fill the gap between what you want the total to be (100% of 2026 taxes, 110% of 2025 taxes, etc.) and what is already planned. Thanks for confirming my recollection that they used to do this correctly!
Thanks. I just went through the estimating process again and if you follow the "prepare a W-4 process it more closely follows the prior years method. At the end it still asks for earning to date, number of pay periods left in the year and how often your paid. This doesn't help if you're retired and do not have the need for a W-4 but it's better than nothing, barely.
Thanks for your replies. However, my original post wasn’t very clear, and, as a result, I think some people misunderstood the issue I was trying to raise.
My concern is about the Estimated Taxes calculation in the Other Tax Situations section. In completing that section, I first answered page after page of questions about next year’s expected income, deductions and credits so that Turbo-tax could calculate next year’s expected taxable income and the associated tax. This is exactly what I would expect it to do, and those calculations appear to be correct since Turbo-Tax’s results agree with the results that I arrived at independently.
However, from that point, things seem to go astray. To simplify matters, let’s assume that I prefer to have estimated taxes calculated so that at the end of the year I will have paid 100% of my expected 2026 taxes (as opposed to, e.g., 110% of 2025 taxes). In order to calculate the amounts for the expected tax vouchers I would expect Turbo-Tax to next determine how much is already* planned to be withheld, and to then prepare vouchers to cover roughly the difference between the expected 2026 total tax and the amount already planned to be withheld. This is where things seem to fall apart. Especially:
Finally, the rounding calculation on the vouchers is incorrect. At one point I selected “round to nearest $10” and the resulting vouchers were for $2120 each. When I selected “round to nearest $100” the resulting vouchers were for $2200 each! Needless to say, that is not the nearest $100; it is rounding up. A small thing I’ll admit, but an unnerving result from an app that you are counting on to be "good a math"….
None of this is insurmountable for me since I also have a spreadsheet that does these calculations. I'm just disappointed in Turbo-Tax, and also concerned that someone less careful might blindly use these vouchers and get in trouble.
RE: "In both TurboTax Online and TurboTax Desktop for a given tax year (TY 2025 currently):
Relying so heavily on 2025 doesn't make sense to me. In my opinion, it is clearly better to rely on 2026 estimates. And, if it's going to base so much on 2025 numbers, why bother to ask page after page of questions about 2026 and then ignore the answers? My recollection is that Turbo-Tax used to do this correctly, but for some unknown reason they have changed their approach.
Re: " you are going in a reduced income situation"
I didn't understand your references to a "reduced income situation."
Since all of the replies appear to agree that this years estimated tax process is confusing and can lead to incorrect calculations for 2026 estimated taxes, how do we get some one from turboTax to provide some comments and hopefully agreement that an update to modify this calculation is warranted? Thanks.
This is obviously a problem (dare I say BUG?) with the software. To be clear,
This resulted in vouchers showing roughly half of what they should have shown. Had I blindly used them I would have ended up with underpayment penalties in 2026. What I find especially troublesome is that I tried to find a way to discuss the problem directly with TurboTax but there doesn't seem to be a way to do that without paying to talk with a "tax professional". I am disappointed with TurboTax to say the least!
Totally agree. It appears that in most cases, the estimated tax payment amounts should be carefully reviewed before using. It appears that depending on how you enter the 2026 information may get you the correct total amount of estimated taxes due or not needed.
As to getting Turbotax's attention on this issue, my recollection is that in prior years TurboTax representatives would at least monitor this community blog and at times would comment or even suggest that there was an update in process to remedy an issue. It is disappointing that they don't react and even more disappointing that they changed the estimated tax payment process that worked perfectly in the past.
We at Intuit TurboTax want our users to be completely delighted with their experience using our products and services, and successful in their financial lives and businesses.
This has been reported and our team is working to provide solutions. We appreciate you taking the time to provide this feedback.
Excellent news. Thanks for your response and I look forward to seeing this issue resolved satisfactorily.
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