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To see if you are going to owe tax for 2024 you can work on an actual 2024 tax return, or you can use the Taxcaster tool.
https://turbotax.intuit.com/tax-tools/calculators/taxcaster/
In your 2023 software, enter at:
Federal Taxes or Personal (H&B version)
-Other Tax Situations
-Other Tax Forms
-Form W-4 and Estimated Taxes - Click the Start or Update button
On the next screen answer No to the W-4 question
You should have made estimated tax payments for 2024 if both of the following apply:
- 1. You expect to owe at least $1,000 in tax for 2024, after subtracting your withholding and credits.
- 2. You expect your withholding and credits to be less than the smaller of: 90% of the tax to be shown on your current year’s tax return, or 100% of the tax shown on your prior year’s tax return. (110% if your AGI was more than $150K) .
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